Forecasts too optimistic?

I’ve finished my running training for about two months. The prediction for my 10K race was essentially the same as the one assumed for my next goal (see screenshot). When I started training with AIE, my PB was 43:54 for 10K. How can AIE assume I can match this final time? It would mean improving by almost 4 minutes in just two months. I don’t think even Usain Bolt could do better.
AIE has downloaded about three years of training; I’m training four times a week, but that doesn’t allow me to make this prediction.
AIE needs to rethink its logic.

4 min doesn’t seem that crazy to me. Also there are error bars

I’m sorry, but I disagree. As an elite athlete, you should understand that 4 minutes in a 45-minute race (for me) is an eternity…not something that can be bridged in two months of training. I understand there’s tolerance for declaring certain results, but I’m convinced that something in the algorithm needs to be revised. But I appreciate your response, even if you didn’t convince me.

1 Like